n-wisdom-long-term

# Naval Wisdom Long Term

## Purpose

Evaluate long-term consequences as the basis of wisdom.

## Read First

- `references/concept.md`

Read only the files needed for the current request.
All runtime references are local to this skill so the folder can be copied independently.

## Workflow

1. Define the action and its immediate intended result.
2. Trace first-, second-, and third-order effects across self, others, and system.
3. Compare one-month, one-year, and ten-year paths including reversibility.
4. Choose the action whose repeated pattern best fits the user's values and survival constraints.

## Output

Return these checkable fields:

- Immediate effect
- Consequence chain
- Time-horizon table
- Option value
- Long-term recommendation

## Boundaries

Use n-decision-rules for a broader heuristic set; this skill concentrates on consequence chains.

Paraphrase by default and do not reproduce long passages from the book.
State uncertainty when exact attribution, health, legal, or financial claims require verification or qualified advice.

## Example

User: "What are the long-term consequences?"

Assistant: Use the workflow above and return immediate effect, consequence chain, time-horizon table.